Futility of Nuclear Weapons.  Detente with the Iranians. 7 29 2026

Futility of Nuclear Weapons.  Detente with the Iranians. 6 29 2026 

As you may remember, on 6 15 2026, I  published an article about the war in Iran ending.  It looked then like Donald Trump was done trying to overthrow the Persians.  Things began to change then, and what looked like a defeat for Israel and the  Americans, was continued.

Well the war was not done with.  The grandiose ideas of putting  the Shaw’s son to  power, whose father  Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi, was overthrown by the Islamic revolution there in 1979, is still being taken seriously by some.

I’m not going into detail about what the son of the Shaw Reza Pavlani does, but he is politically motivated to rule Iran, and it looked like he had a live one with the American bourgeoisie.  According to Reuters he is pretty rough, there have been politically motivated murders attached to him, and hooliganism like attempting to have Iranian publican places fly the old Iranian flag.

Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu have had to accept less lofty goals, as Iran refuses to give up.  The jet aircraft bombings have not removed the government there, and the Iranians have shown their drones and missiles have been able to hit the Army’s planes, about 50 so far have been destroyed.  

The manufacture of cheap drones, which require advanced anti missile defenses like Patriot missiles to knock down, are able to reach the other countries where the  Army takes off its planes from, like Kuwait, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates (UAE), etc.   They even have had some luck striking farther, but long range drones rarely work with missile defenses and modern capitalism warfare.

We can say though; each Patriot missile fired costs a million dollars.  Iran’s drones cost a fraction of that, probably very little or next to nothing without a bomb in it.  Every time they fire them it costs the Arabs millions of dollars in American weapons.

So things haven’t been so cost effective.  

“WASHINGTON, July 21 (Reuters) – The cost of the United States’ war in Iran has risen to $37.5 billion ​so far, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on Tuesday, as he faced skeptical lawmakers for the first time since heavy ‌bombings resumed to seek urgent funding for the unpopular conflict.”

“With just six months before midterm elections in which President Donald Trump’s Republicans may face an uphill battle to keep their House of Representatives and Senate majorities, Democrats are riding high in public opinion polls as they attempt to link the unpopular Iran war with affordability.”

“Hegseth told lawmakers at a ​hearing in Washington that the $37.5 billion included certain aspects of the war as well as anticipated costs through September 30. “ 

“It was unclear ​how the Pentagon arrived at the figure. A source told Reuters in March that Trump’s administration estimated the first six ⁠days of the war had cost at least $11.3 billion.”

“Trump asked Congress last month for nearly $90 billion in additional funding, most of it related to the Iran conflict, ​setting the stage for another fight with lawmakers frustrated with the war and facing the November midterms.”

Reuters July 21st 2026

For someone who went into power promising to make government smaller, who with Elon Musk vowed to reign in excess spending, in particular the DOGE efforts, Trump has managed to tax another 90 billion dollars on the countries bill.  Is this supposed to somehow reduce the cost of government?  Is it getting any smaller in the pentagon?

Although there has been a smaller civilian government,  the Army just keeps costing more and more.  Trump has asked for 1 and a half trillion dollars for the military this year.  It’s the largest amount in history.  Yet we are supposed to believe government is shrinking not growing.

The first 6 days cost 11.3 billion dollars.  It has been off and on, but is now 37.5 billion dollars, and Trump wants 90 billion more.  

I was wrong to suggest the war was ending.  One thing I am certain about though, is how stupid the Iranians would be to build an atomic bomb. Clearly they have shown that  even without control of their skies they remain powerful, and able to send out drones and cause considerable damage ot petroleum facilities and US Army bases in Iraq and Kuwait.  

A nuclear bomb has not been needed.   Congress has already voted to end the war, Trump refuses to accept this even  though some of his own Republican bourgeoisie voted for it.  It is sort of in limbo; it passed without effect.  

Afghanistan was also lost without the Taliban having nuclear weapons.  If Iran was smart they would realize the futility of enriching uranium, and join the nonproliferation treaties. They should call Trump’s bluff, and give up enrichment and building a bomb.  It would remove one of Trump’s supposed reasons for why he is attempting to make private property again Iran’s petroleum.  That would be detente; Trump would be left with no spoils for his Persian adventure. Iran would lose nothing.  If anything they could  start really demoralizing the bourgeoisie by closing the Strait of Hormuz again, which also does not require atomic weapons. It make the ships voyages longer, and now Iran’s fiends the Houthis in Yemen  are cutting off the Red Sea, meaning Saudi oil has to flow through the Mediterranean.

You can see where this ship of fools is going.  A small spill in the Mediterranean would endanger the whole enterprise.  Iran doesn’t even have to bomb the ship, with the quantity moving through a spill is inevitable.  It is just a matter of when.

Trump is running out of options.  He needs more money, and the reason for what he is doing is he is claiming to be stopping Iran from building an atomic bomb. Which we have seen would be true folly by the Persians.  If it makes him happy to suggest he stopped Iran from getting the bomb, good for him.  In the meantime, capitalist warfare technology is catching up on the aircraft and carrier ships paradigm.  The hand of technological progress continues moving forward., even in Iran.

Nicholas Jay Boyes

MIlwaukee WIsconsin

American Democratic Republic

7 29 2026

Role of Conflict in Society.  Goals and Effects of This. 5 12 2026 

Role of Conflict in Society.  Goals and Effects of This 5 12 2026 

Donald Trump has been president for two terms now.  His war machine now has attacked 3 countries, Afghanistan, Venezuela, and Iran.  He is now calling what was the defense department the “Department of War”.

The war effort in Afghanistan did not work out; at least it brought home no capital.  In Venezuela, Trump had a coup d’etat against Nicholas Maduro.  It remains to be seen if a profit can be made pumping the oil there, assuming companies will be willing to take the risk of going there and working given nationalization could be the result.

Trump’s latest war against Iran, in a cease fire currently, has also not resulted in victory, like Afghanistan.  In the latter the Americans spent a lot of money, and got no real return.

The purpose of war is, one, conquer the country and take anything you want, then, two, put the conquered population to work supporting the conquering country.  

In Afghanistan only number one was achieved.   There was no profit made there,  this tells us the Americans and NATO did not win there.

At this point, Donald Trump’s Department of War looks like a non profit organisation.  One may say adventures like  Afghanistan and Iran are for the public good,  but it remains to be seen if Iran is like  Afghanistan, a large expenditure of capital and men with no profit coming home.

Our casino owner seems to have pious wishes.  But pious wishes do not always bring popularity, and the bourgeois effort to conquer Iran is deeply unpopular, like Afghanistan towards the 20 year mark  of war.

Don’s coup in Venezuela seems to have emboldened him to attack Iran.  The result was Iran fought back, and now the  Americans are getting no military help from NATO, who seems to have learned about Middle Eastern military adventures with the bourgeoisie.

Now that Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices have doubled.  The gains of war in Iraq, control by Chevron and ExxonMobil  of the oil wells there, expropriated from their nationalized state by Americans, are now unable to ship through the Strait.  Every day that goes by is  a loss for ExxonMobil,  it is unable to sell oil and make a profit.

Don feels he is helping society by attacking Iran.  Even if he was, the fact of the matter is capitalists expect to make a profit anytime there is labor involved.  And although war may seem unproductive, a profit can always be made employing the conquered population in capitalist factories.  

But all we have ever seen with Don is a non profit effort, in Afghanistan and Iran. 

It makes one wonder how much longer capitalists will tolerate this.  With control of both Houses of Congress and the presidency, the Republican bourgeoisie can only blame themselves for their  inability to bring home the capital from Iran.  And they can blame Joe Biden for ending the war after 20 long years in a defeat,  but it was Trump who made the peace agreements with the Taliban; Biden just honored them. 

The mid term elections are coming, and the Republican bourgeoisie may lose its majority in the House of Representatives due to these factors.  The Senate rarely falls, it is dominated by large landowners. They are reliably more reactionary than the big bourgeoisie, who sometimes support the radical democrats.  The possibility of losing has sparked a desperate effort to draw new lines in voting districts to keep a Republican  majority.  It’s been most effective in the South, dominated by large landowners.  Fear of nationalization of the land drives forward the most reactionary measures to control suffrage, for instance requiring people to show up to vote on the  day of the election rather than just being mailed a ballot.

The Trumpers will only have themselves to blame  if they lose the war in Iran.  If it stops tomorrow, it remains a non profit effort by Don.  Who will buy the weapons used, if they cannot achieve victory in a developing world country, with little resources?  

That is how it stands, and time is ticking.  The midterm elections could change the course considerably, but nothing will change if perfection is the only way a person votes. The radical democrats are the liberal progressive bourgeoisie, but in the past they have sided with the proletariat, for instance in Europe in 1940.  The sentiment  is not so strong today, but nevertheless they appear less extreme than the reactionary bourgeoisie.  It remains to be seen if this can translate into victory for them.  It is only by being flexible one will achieve change, unbending objects break when pressure is applied. Obstructionist tactics will not be effective, workers representatives are needed who can try to legislate change.  This is not the end all result of worker organization, but begins to address the political movement.  At this point obstructionism will only isolate the workers movement further.  With elections coming Don’s machine could be dealt a decisive blow.

Nicholas Jay Boyes

Milwaukee Wisconsin

American Democratic Republic

5 12 2026  

Another Middle Eastern War.

In respect to the conflict between Donald Trump. Benjamin Netanyahu, and Iran, it remains to be seen what will come of it.  At this point it looks like a successful coup de tet, killing Ayatollah Khamenei, and many of his following who were in power.

But no territory was gained by Israel or America, indicating the lack of a clear victory. 

And there is yet to be talk about American capital flowing into Iran, to employ the conquered people, with the goal of making a profit for America.

So it is not a victory yet.  There is currently a cease fire agreement, but the American power is blockading Iran’s ports in the Strait of Hormuz, in retaliation for Iran stopping traffic there.

The strait carries massive quantities of oil to foreign markets, including all of Kuwait and Iraqi oil.  At best Trump bombed some industry there that was pumping oil in Iran, I  guess this looks  like victory?

Israel has yet to remove Hamas from Gaza, even with F35 aircraft the Americans gave them.  Hamas, with no air force, like Afghanistan, again shows the limitations of airplanes bombing cities.  It has been more than 2 years now, Israel has yet to declare victory.  

Yet Trump thought this same group was capable of easily conquering Iran, that  have  industry, and a population twice that of Iraq.

Clearly Trump picks winners.  The way we will know if he won if the oil becomes property of ExxonMobil, like it did in Iraq.  In which case, it brings home profit for the bourgeoisie, which says the adventure had a purpose rather than simple punishment with destruction of a developing world power.

It will be very difficult to secure the Strait of Hormuz if Iran decides to block it again,  as it recently did. You would almost have to remove Iran from the coast, where they could attack boats they didn’t want in the strait.  

And if the goal is simple destruction, it is too easy with a missile or grenade launcher to effectively stop the shipping companies from wasting their capital to traverse a dangerous strait when they can do business elsewhere without insurance needed for a trip through the passage,

OIl prices have almost doubled, and American industry is still building fossil fuel vehicles.  The non metric trucks from Detroit cost a small fortune to commute in.  They are feeling the pressure, as China continues to build electric cars, and the solar panels and wind power to recharge them.  By 2030 about a third of China’s energy will be produced by renewable energy.

I guess if they win they get the Standard Oil monopoly’s fields back. But that cannot stop climate change, driving the economy to renewable energy.  All the oil in the world cannot stop the fact that burning fossil fuels is damaging the ecology, causing the temperature to rise.  It causes freak storms, high temperatures for short periods up north.  It is a monster the likes of which no human has ever seen or had to live with. 

And there is no question that if Iran’s oil returns to the bourgeoisie they will  pump as much as possible, with little or no concern for ecology.  At best they  will create some surplus value for ExxonMobil, and it will  come home to America.

If it stops now it is hard to call it a victory.  They know that, and that is why more men are going there in the Army to fight.  Nothing has been gained financially from bombing Iran, if anything closure of the Strait of Hormuz has cost capitalists money; the shipping companies cannot sail the ships, oil has doubled in value, and rebuilding Iran will cost hundreds of billions of dollars.

Trump looks like he has committed the young men to another endless war in the Middle East.  They just never stop.  Real estate there keeps motivating the bourgeoisie to attempt to conquer.  This is no different than Iraq or Afghanistan, and the latter should show us the limitations of this style or warfare they think will easily win with.

Nicholas Jay Boyes   

Milwaukee Wisconsin

American Democratic Republic 

4 16 2026