In respect to the conflict between Donald Trump. Benjamin Netanyahu, and Iran, it remains to be seen what will come of it. At this point it looks like a successful coup de tet, killing Ayatollah Khamenei, and many of his following who were in power.
But no territory was gained by Israel or America, indicating the lack of a clear victory.
And there is yet to be talk about American capital flowing into Iran, to employ the conquered people, with the goal of making a profit for America.
So it is not a victory yet. There is currently a cease fire agreement, but the American power is blockading Iran’s ports in the Strait of Hormuz, in retaliation for Iran stopping traffic there.
The strait carries massive quantities of oil to foreign markets, including all of Kuwait and Iraqi oil. At best Trump bombed some industry there that was pumping oil in Iran, I guess this looks like victory?
Israel has yet to remove Hamas from Gaza, even with F35 aircraft the Americans gave them. Hamas, with no air force, like Afghanistan, again shows the limitations of airplanes bombing cities. It has been more than 2 years now, Israel has yet to declare victory.
Yet Trump thought this same group was capable of easily conquering Iran, that have industry, and a population twice that of Iraq.
Clearly Trump picks winners. The way we will know if he won if the oil becomes property of ExxonMobil, like it did in Iraq. In which case, it brings home profit for the bourgeoisie, which says the adventure had a purpose rather than simple punishment with destruction of a developing world power.
It will be very difficult to secure the Strait of Hormuz if Iran decides to block it again, as it recently did. You would almost have to remove Iran from the coast, where they could attack boats they didn’t want in the strait.
And if the goal is simple destruction, it is too easy with a missile or grenade launcher to effectively stop the shipping companies from wasting their capital to traverse a dangerous strait when they can do business elsewhere without insurance needed for a trip through the passage,
OIl prices have almost doubled, and American industry is still building fossil fuel vehicles. The non metric trucks from Detroit cost a small fortune to commute in. They are feeling the pressure, as China continues to build electric cars, and the solar panels and wind power to recharge them. By 2030 about a third of China’s energy will be produced by renewable energy.
I guess if they win they get the Standard Oil monopoly’s fields back. But that cannot stop climate change, driving the economy to renewable energy. All the oil in the world cannot stop the fact that burning fossil fuels is damaging the ecology, causing the temperature to rise. It causes freak storms, high temperatures for short periods up north. It is a monster the likes of which no human has ever seen or had to live with.
And there is no question that if Iran’s oil returns to the bourgeoisie they will pump as much as possible, with little or no concern for ecology. At best they will create some surplus value for ExxonMobil, and it will come home to America.
If it stops now it is hard to call it a victory. They know that, and that is why more men are going there in the Army to fight. Nothing has been gained financially from bombing Iran, if anything closure of the Strait of Hormuz has cost capitalists money; the shipping companies cannot sail the ships, oil has doubled in value, and rebuilding Iran will cost hundreds of billions of dollars.
Trump looks like he has committed the young men to another endless war in the Middle East. They just never stop. Real estate there keeps motivating the bourgeoisie to attempt to conquer. This is no different than Iraq or Afghanistan, and the latter should show us the limitations of this style or warfare they think will easily win with.
Nicholas Jay Boyes
Milwaukee Wisconsin
American Democratic Republic
4 16 2026
Ecological Era 